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Bouncing with Bonds

Given the recent rally in bonds from the beginning of the year, some relief from the rush into them is expected as investors look to re-position themselves as the moves in Europe begin to take shape. While the Fed continues to communicate longer than usual stimulus to ensure low rates, the bonds are especially sensitive to outflows into other markets as investors seek to yield since this will cause the dollar to strengthen, forcing the Feds hand to address the issue.

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Successful Plan

The plan exited at one of the 3 reward stages. Note returns and percentages are calculated based on the levels executed only.



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  Price Shares Cost Returns R/R
Blue Channel
Buy $111.39
$3,230.31  
Reward $118.65 $3,440.85 $210.54
Risk $107.61 $3,120.69 ($109.62)
Cancel $113.75    
 
Green Channel
Buy $107.61
$3,228.30  
Reward $111.36 $3,340.80 $112.50
Risk $104.53 $3,135.90 ($92.40)
Even $109.47      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target ($0.87)  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $111.63  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($291.34)  
 
Gray Channel
Buy $104.53
$3,240.43  
Reward $108.45 $3,361.95 $121.52
Risk $98.50 $3,053.50 ($186.93)
Even $107.77      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target ($85.26)  
2nd Trade exit @ reward target $25.20  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $61.46  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($834.04)  
Blue Channel

1.92:1
reward : risk
level reached 61.51%
Green Channel

1.22:1
reward : risk
level reached 38.87%
Gray Channel

1:1.54
reward : risk
level reached 20.38%
6/4/2014 by Dave H Friedel Jr in Financial Trust Type: Equities

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