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Constructing a Golden Parachute

As the Fed continues to digest the economic data, their actions will signal to investors around the world that the dollar will begin building support as they slow their bond purchases. With Inflation still under target and investors seeking “return on”, rather than “return of” their capital – gold could see seasonal weakness magnified into summer until wage inflation picks up. To take advantage of this, a summer short until August – September where seasonal buying in Asia takes place.

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Successful Plan

The plan exited at one of the 3 reward stages. Note returns and percentages are calculated based on the levels executed only.



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  Price Shares Cost Returns R/R
Green Channel
Buy $6.62
$2,217.70  
Reward $7.38 $2,472.30 $254.60
Risk $5.91 $1,979.85 ($237.85)
Cancel $6.91    
 
Blue Channel
Buy $5.91
$3,333.24  
Reward $7.14 $4,026.96 $693.72
Risk $5.30 $2,989.20 ($344.04)
Even $6.17      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $174.20  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $867.92  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($786.24)  
 
Red Channel
Buy $5.30
$4,441.40  
Reward $6.87 $5,757.06 $1,315.66
Risk $4.84 $4,055.92 ($385.48)
Even $5.75      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $83.75  
2nd Trade exit @ reward target $541.44  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $1,940.85  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($1,585.26)  
Green Channel

1.07:1
reward : risk
level reached 61.51%
Blue Channel

2.02:1
reward : risk
level reached 38.87%
Red Channel

3.41:1
reward : risk
level reached 20.38%
5/1/2014 by Dave H Friedel Jr in Commodity Trust Type: Equities

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