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There is nothing “micro” or “soft” about this macro move

As Bill steps down from Microsoft’s board to focus on philanthropy, Window’s is continually plagued around updates and year end bets on a hardware reboot with new form factors, the stock is poised for volatility with the markets.

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Successful Plan

The plan exited at one of the 3 reward stages. Note returns and percentages are calculated based on the levels executed only.

There is a lot to like about Microsoft whether that be Azure’s cloud strength, their leadership’s focus and the promise of new devices but there is always an outlier to present opportunity.  After eclipsing 1 Trillion and reigning number one, now the true test of their staff will come into spotlight as they continue to navigate problematic updates to Windows and presenting valid use cases for the new foldable devices.


  Price Shares Cost Returns R/R
Blue Channel
Buy $126.75
$2,788.50  
Reward $163.75 $3,602.50 $814.00
Risk $108.00 $2,376.00 ($412.50)
Cancel $177.10    
 
Green Channel
Buy $108.00
$2,808.00  
Reward $150.05 $3,901.30 $1,093.30
Risk $84.67 $2,201.42 ($606.58)
Even $116.59      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $512.60  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $1,605.90  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($1,532.34)  
 
Red Channel
Buy $84.67
$4,233.50  
Reward $144.20 $7,210.00 $2,976.50
Risk $56.06 $2,803.00 ($1,430.50)
Even $100.31      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $383.90  
2nd Trade exit @ reward target $941.20  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $4,301.60  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($4,336.12)  
Blue Channel

1.97:1
reward : risk
level reached 61.51%
Green Channel

1.80:1
reward : risk
level reached 38.87%
Red Channel

2.08:1
reward : risk
level reached 20.38%
3/15/2020 by Dave H Friedel Jr in Technology Type: Equities

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