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Swimming in summer supply

Summer supply has seen record surplus with demand from the top 3 oil consumers wane as producers race to market but how long before an upset impacts the market? Counter trading the price of oil provides measured risk which can provide opportunity for a quick trade.

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Failed Plan

The plan exited at the final stop loss.

Whether the recent price action of the dollar, shale oil’s 10% increase since last year or OPEC’s disjointed production cuts among nations - the summer impact on oil prices appears to be in full swing and as short term investors scale back from their long positions, opportunity to profit from the dips can give nimble traders an edge.  


  Price Shares Cost Returns R/R
Blue Channel
Buy $42.23
$2,491.57  
Reward $54.69 $3,226.71 $735.14
Risk $33.69 $1,987.71 ($503.86)
Cancel $52.63    
 
Green Channel
Buy $33.69
$2,493.06  
Reward $44.89 $3,321.86 $828.80
Risk $27.64 $2,045.36 ($447.70)
Even $37.48      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target $156.94  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $985.74  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($1,308.51)  
 
Red Channel
Buy $27.64
$4,975.20  
Reward $40.76 $7,336.80 $2,361.60
Risk $23.46 $4,222.80 ($752.40)
Even $31.82      
 
1st Trade exit @ reward target ($86.73)  
2nd Trade exit @ reward target $523.18  
Total Reward from all applicable channels $2,798.05  
Total Risk from all applicable channels ($2,616.85)  
Blue Channel

1.46:1
reward : risk
level reached 61.51%
Green Channel

1.85:1
reward : risk
level reached 38.87%
Red Channel

3.14:1
reward : risk
level reached 20.38%
6/28/2017 by Dave H Friedel Jr in Commodity Trust Type: Equities

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